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Rakesh Madhav CFA

25th Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📌 Paytm – Weakness Near Support Zones

PAYTM
has been under pressure recently, slipping from its recent highs as profit-booking and sector headwinds weighed on sentiment. 🔹 Technical View CMP ~₹1,141, down ~1.8% today with higher volumes. Stock is now trading below short-term EMAs (₹1,187/₹1,198) – showing weakness. RSI ~40 – in bearish territory, indicating selling momentum. Key support: ₹1,120–₹1,100 zone. A breakdown below ₹1,100 could extend downside toward ₹1,020–₹1,000. Resistance: ₹1,180–₹1,200; only a close above this can revive bullish sentiment. 🔹 Fundamental View Paytm continues to focus on payments, lending, and financial services, with user engagement rising. Regulatory scrutiny remains a key overhang, especially in lending partnerships and compliance requirements. Improving revenue visibility from financial services and devices, but profitability remains a concern. Strong brand and customer base, but valuations are still debated given cash burn and policy risks. ⚠️ Risks High regulatory dependence (RBI/SEBI norms). Rising competition in digital payments and fintech lending. Sustained weakness in stock could erode investor confidence further. ⚖️ Conclusion: Paytm is currently in a short-term downtrend, testing crucial support around ₹1,100. If this level holds, a bounce toward ₹1,180 is possible, but a breakdown could drag it further lower. Fundamentally, long-term prospects hinge on regulatory clarity and sustained path to profitability.

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