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Rakesh Madhav CFA

10th Oct ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

PNB: Cup & Handle Breakout on the Charts โ˜•๐Ÿš€

Technical View:

PNB
jumped 2.6% to โ‚น117.2, breaking above a crucial horizontal resistance near โ‚น116โ€“โ‚น117, confirming a cup and handle breakout on the daily chart. The pattern had been forming for months, and todayโ€™s breakout candle backed by strong volume (~40M shares) signals fresh bullish momentum. The stock is trading well above its 20- and 50-day EMAs, and RSI at 68 reflects healthy strength without extreme overbought conditions. Immediate support is placed around โ‚น112 and โ‚น107, while resistance is seen near โ‚น122โ€“โ‚น125. A sustained breakout above โ‚น125 could open the next leg higher toward โ‚น135โ€“โ‚น140. Price Action Note: The breakout structure is textbook โ€” prolonged base, rounded bottom formation, followed by a tight handle and high-volume breakout. This indicates renewed institutional participation and a potential start of a medium-term uptrend continuation. Fundamental View: Punjab National Bank continues to show steady improvement in asset quality with lower NPAs and rising profitability. Loan book expansion, higher CASA deposits, and focus on retail and MSME lending are improving operating efficiency. The bank also stands to benefit from Indiaโ€™s robust credit growth cycle and strengthening balance sheets across the PSU banking sector. Outlook: The bias stays bullish above โ‚น112. Sustaining above โ‚น117โ€“โ‚น118 keeps momentum strong, with potential upside targets of โ‚น125โ€“โ‚น135. Traders can look to accumulate on dips near โ‚น112โ€“โ‚น114 with a stop below โ‚น107 for short-to-medium-term setups

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