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Rakesh Madhav CFA

27th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Tarmat – Sudden Momentum Spike, Breakout or Short-Term Burst?

TARMAT
Tarmat has delivered a sharp upward move on the weekly timeframe after a prolonged period of sideways consolidation and declining momentum. The recent candle stands out due to both price expansion and volume participation. Technical Structure Long consolidation phase between ₹50–60 range. Sharp breakout candle pushing price toward ₹70+ zone. Strong close near highs indicates aggressive buying interest. Trading decisively above short-term EMA — trend shift signal. Stochastic RSI in extreme overbought territory, indicating momentum surge. Noticeable volume spike compared to prior weeks — participation expanding. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate resistance: ₹75–80 zone. Major resistance: ₹90–100 supply band (historical zone). Immediate support: ₹60–62. Breakdown risk if price slips below ₹55 (prior base). Sustaining above ₹60 would validate breakout strength. Failure to hold breakout levels may result in pullback toward base zone. Fundamental Perspective Infrastructure and EPC-linked business exposure. Performance typically linked to order inflows and execution cycle. Balance sheet health and working capital management are key variables. Earnings visibility depends on project pipeline stability. Risks & Triggers Order book slowdown impacting revenue visibility. Delays in execution affecting margins. Low liquidity stock — volatility risk remains high. Tarmat appears to be transitioning from dormant phase to momentum phase. However, sustainability will depend on follow-through buying and fundamental execution strength.

#EquityResearch#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews
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