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Rakesh Madhav CFA

23rd Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

TFCILTD – Steady Uptrend With Fresh Momentum Build-Up

TFCILTD
Corporation of India (TFCILTD) is displaying a strong structural uptrend on the weekly timeframe. After a phase of consolidation, the stock has resumed its upward trajectory, forming higher highs and higher lows — a classic bullish continuation structure. Technical Setup Clear breakout above prior consolidation zone near ₹70. Trading comfortably above rising 20/50-week EMAs. Recent bullish weekly candle supported by improved volumes. RSI turning upward toward bullish zone (~70), indicating renewed momentum. Immediate support near ₹68–70 breakout base. Sustained move above recent swing high can open higher targets in the medium term. The structure suggests trend continuation as long as price sustains above the breakout area and moving average support. Fundamental View Focused on tourism and hospitality sector financing — a niche NBFC segment. Beneficiary of India’s tourism revival and infrastructure expansion. Government push toward tourism development, spiritual circuits, and hotel capacity expansion supports long-term demand. Loan book growth and asset quality remain key performance drivers. Sensitive to economic cycles and sector-specific demand trends. Margin stability depends on cost of funds and credit discipline. Sector & Macro Tailwinds Rising domestic tourism and hospitality investments. Capex cycle revival in travel infrastructure. Policy support for tourism-linked projects. Overall, TFCILTD combines cyclical recovery potential with improving technical structure. Earnings consistency and credit quality will be crucial for sustaining the rerating phase.

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