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Rakesh Madhav CFA

2nd Aug 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📉 Why Is Force Motors Falling Recently?

FORCEMOT
Weak Investor Participation: Over the past four trading days, delivery volumes dropped ~58% vs five-day average, signaling lower conviction behind run-up Price Correction: Stock has declined ~8% in four days after hitting a near all-time high post its Q1FY26 earnings rally. Today itself the stock fell ~1.38% Technical Retracement: The stock is trading below its shorter moving averages, indicating a short-term bearish structure despite longer-term strength 🔍 Technical Snapshot Pullback from Recent High: Recent surge took price to ~₹20,500, now correcting toward support zones. Moving Averages: Price is falling below 5- and 20-day EMAs — short-term caution in play. Momentum Weakness: RSI has started cooling off, showing signs of fading upside momentum. 📊 Fundamentals Are Still Solid Force Motors reported a 52% YoY jump in Q1FY26 net profit (~₹176 Cr), with revenue up ~22% and EBITDA margin expanding to ~14.4% The company maintains strong ROE (~20–26%) and is almost debt-free, with low interest burden and growing free cash flow 🧭 Short-Term View (Next 5 Sessions) 🎯 Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish — profit-taking is expected after the recent sharp run. 📍 Support Levels: Look for relief bounce around ₹16,500–₹16,400. 📈 Resistance to Watch: ₹17,000–₹17,100 zone; a rebound above this could reset short-term trend. ⚠️ Trade Setup: Avoid fresh longs until price stabilizes above ₹17,000 with volume confirmation. Watch for reversal bar or bullish divergence on momentum indicators indicating a pullback bottom. ✅ Bottom Line Force Motors is undergoing a healthy pullback after a strong post-Q1 rally. The correction is technical, not fundamental — driven by profit-taking and reduced volumes. Unless bearish macro cues emerge, this dip could present tactical entry opportunities for momentum or long-term traders

#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews#WatchOutFor#EquityResearch
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