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Saksham Sharma - SEBI RIA

10th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

M&M is a stock where the growth story is increasingly being backed by the numbers.

Q1 FY27 consolidated PAT grew 34% YoY to ₹5,454 cr, while revenue grew 28%. More importantly, the growth isn't coming from just one segment. Passenger vehicle sales grew 28%, 3-wheeler sales 63%, and Mahindra Finance's profit jumped 75% to ₹926 cr. But the bigger long-term story is capacity.

M&M
plans to significantly expand its SUV capacity, with monthly capacity moving towards 82,000 units by FY27 and eventually 92,000 units, roughly doubling its SUV capacity by FY31. The interesting part? Demand appears to be ahead of capacity — not the other way around. However, there is a catch. The stock has already appreciated faster than earnings over the past three years. EPS compounded at roughly 15%, while the share price grew around 27% annually. So the business looks strong, but valuation leaves less room for execution mistakes. Technically, the setup is constructive as well. M&M has moved above the ₹3,180 resistance zone and remains above its 200-day moving average, although the breakout still needs confirmation after the recent weakness around the 50-day average. Key takeaway: M&M's biggest opportunity is converting strong existing SUV demand into higher volumes through capacity expansion. The biggest risk is paying too much for that growth.

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Mahindra_Mahindra_Long_Term_Trade_Idea.pdf
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