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Saksham Sharma - SEBI RIA

11th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Why “I've Already Lost So Much, I Might As Well Hold” Is the Most Expensive Sentence in Investing

You've probably said this to yourself: a stock you bought has fallen 40%, 50%, or even 80%. Instead of selling, you think, “I've already lost so much, might as well wait for it to recover.” It feels logical. It's actually the sunk cost fallacy. Take

YESBANK
. The stock traded around ₹394 in August 2018. By March 2020, it had fallen to around ₹5.65. Someone who kept holding simply because they had already lost so much wasn't making a decision based on the future. They were trying to recover the past. That's the core mistake. The money you've already lost is gone. Whether you sell today or hold for another five years doesn't change that past loss. The only question that matters is: Knowing everything you know today, would you buy this stock at today's price with fresh money? If the answer is no, then your original purchase price is irrelevant. This bias is reinforced by loss aversion. Selling makes the loss feel real, while holding allows you to postpone that pain. But economically, the loss doesn't become less real just because you haven't sold. The same logic applies outside investing too. Finishing a terrible movie because you already paid for the ticket doesn't make the ticket cheaper. Staying in a queue because you've already waited an hour doesn't make the next hour more valuable. Past costs are sunk. Future decisions should be based on future expected returns. The takeaway: Before holding a losing stock, ask yourself: “If I had this cash today instead, would I buy this stock?” If not, “I've already lost too much” isn't a reason to hold. It's precisely the bias you need to overcome.

#PsychologyofMoney#MacroViews#PersonalFinance#FundamentalViews#Miscellaneous
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