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SASI KUMAR SEBI RA

19th Jun 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Darvas Box Breakout Alert – ASAHI INDIA GLASS LTD (NSE)

ASAHI INDIA has delivered a classic Darvas Box Breakout on the daily chart with strong volume confirmation, indicating potential for a strong upside move. Let’s break it down technically: Technical Breakdown: Darvas Box Formation: • The stock was consolidating between ₹715–₹780 for over a month. • This range formed a clean Darvas Box, where price respected the upper and lower boundaries multiple times. Breakout Confirmation: • On the breakout day, the price surged above the ₹780 resistance with a gap-up and closed near the high at ₹813.65 (+5.49%). • Breakout accompanied by a significant rise in volume 🔊—a hallmark of a valid Darvas breakout. Moving Averages: • The stock is trading well above its 21, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, reflecting strong bullish momentum. • EMAs are in perfect bullish alignment (short-term EMA above long-term EMAs), further strengthening the trend. Volume Profile: • Volume has dried up during consolidation and surged on breakout, consistent with accumulation followed by demand-driven breakout. 📌 What to Watch For: • Retest of the breakout zone (~₹780) could offer a low-risk re-entry. • Immediate resistance zone: ₹840–₹860. • Trailing stop loss: Just below ₹765 (box high + small buffer). Educational Insight – Darvas Box: Created by Nicolas Darvas, this strategy identifies trading ranges and capitalizes on breakouts from consolidation. Key rules include: • Box drawn using recent highs/lows. • Entry on breakout above the upper box level with volume. • Exit if price falls below the lower box boundary or hits stop-loss. Conclusion: This is a textbook Darvas breakout – backed by price, volume, and trend alignment. ASAHI INDIA may be setting up for a strong trend continuation, making it a good candidate for swing or positional trading. 📌 Note: Always confirm with your risk management and trade plan. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.

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