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SASI KUMAR SEBI RA

29th May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

India’s Industrial Growth Slows Down – What You Need to Know (April 2025)

India’s industrial production (IIP) slowed down to 2.7% in April 2025, the lowest in 8 months, according to government data. What is IIP? The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) shows how fast industries like manufacturing, mining, and electricity are growing. A lower number means slower growth. What Happened in April? • Overall IIP growth: Down to 2.7% from 3.9% in March • Core sector (40% of IIP): Crashed to 0.5% from 4.6% • Mining: First contraction in 8 months, fell 0.2% YoY and 17% MoM • Electricity: Grew just 1.1% vs 7.5% last month • Manufacturing: Held up better at 3.4%, down slightly from 3.9% Any Good News? Yes, some sectors did well: • Capital goods: Jumped 20.3% – fastest in nearly 2 years • Consumer durables: Steady at 6.4% • But consumer non-durables (like packaged foods) fell -1.7% for the 3rd month in a row What’s Behind the Slowdown? • High base effect (last year’s strong numbers make this year look weaker) • Global uncertainty (like US tariff concerns) • Unseasonal rains & early monsoon → Lower power demand, may hurt construction too What’s Next? May 2025 could be slower too — growth might stay under 2% due to weak demand and weather effects. Summary: Industrial growth is slowing, but not crashing. Some sectors like capital goods are showing strength. Big-picture recovery may take time — expect better signs in FY26. Stay tuned: India’s Q4 GDP data (Jan–Mar 2025) comes out on May 30.

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