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30th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Trump Hints at 20-25% Tariffs on India If Trade Deal Misses August Deadline...

Date: July 29, 2025. US President Donald Trump has signaled that India could face tariffs up to 25% on its exports to the US if the ongoing bilateral trade deal isn't wrapped up by August 1. Current Status: India and the US have been working on a first phase of a Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA), expected to be finalized by September or October. But Trump is pushing for faster progress. What This Means: If the deal isn’t closed soon: • Indian exporters, especially in auto, steel, textiles, and chemicals, may face steep US import duties. • Could impact India's trade competitiveness in the US market. • May spark retaliatory tariffs or trade tensions. Why It Matters: The US is one of India's biggest trading partners. Sudden tariff hikes could disrupt export flows, hit business sentiment, and create fresh uncertainty for Indian markets. Keep an eye on stocks related to export-heavy sectors. Any delay or breakdown in talks might weigh on market sentiment.

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