‹ All Posts
SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

14th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🫖 India’s Tea Industry Is Boiling Over

Imagine dawn in Assam or West Bengal’s tea gardens: workers pluck leaf after leaf under a hot sun, but every kilo grown costs more than before. In 2025, a 25% year-on-year recovery in output only looks good compared to 2024’s disaster—Assam and West Bengal both remain below their 2023 numbers, and Darjeeling is at an 18% deficit over two years. Temperatures rose, rainfall fell, and garden pests flourished, leading to a shortfall of 109 million kg of leaf in 2024 and continued stress this year. Meanwhile, auction prices slid as global buyers and importers turned to cheaper teas. New imported teas have flooded the Indian market, further hurting domestic price realization—even as state governments, under pressure from unions, raised daily wages (now around ₹232/day for Assam’s Brahmaputra Valley and ₹204-250/day following new hikes). For legacy planters, higher costs meet falling prices—a recipe for closures or financial strain. Major listed tea stocks and market players: Tata Consumer Products

TATACONSUM
: FMCG giant with tea brands. McLeod Russel
MCLEODRUSS
,Jay Shree Tea
JAYSREETEA
: Large producers directly exposed to plantation-side cost and price risks. CCL Products
CCL
: Coffee/tea exporter, more insulated from Indian price cycles. For the lone observer, India’s tea industry stands at a crossroads—adapt, innovate, or risk being left out of the cup. 📌 Learning Takeaway: India’s tea sector faces falling crop yields and prices, wage hikes, and import pressure—with key listed producers squeezed on every side.

#FundamentalViews#StockInNews#MacroViews#EquityResearch
449 likes·61 comments