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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

7th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Temporary policy wins can ease pressure, but markets reward structural competitiveness not headlines alone.

Imagine a manufacturer who just got cost relief — but still needs sustained orders to scale profitably. That’s where India’s export ecosystem stands after the new India–US trade framework. The recently announced interim framework between India and the US is a major reset in global trade positioning. The US has reduced tariffs on Indian goods to ~18%, while India plans to purchase nearly $500 billion worth of US goods over the next five years, including energy, aircraft parts, tech products and raw materials. This is not just a political announcement — it’s a cost-structure shift for Indian exporters. Lower tariffs improve pricing competitiveness vs countries like Vietnam, Bangladesh and China, especially in labour-intensive sectors. The biggest structural beneficiaries are export-heavy sectors like: • Textiles & Apparel • Pharmaceuticals & Generics • Chemicals & Engineering Goods • Gems & Jewellery • Auto & Industrial Components But remember: Trade access creates opportunity. Execution creates earnings. This deal can revive order flows, improve capacity utilisation and restore margin structures — but only for companies with strong balance sheets and US client linkages. If this trade shift sustains, strength shifts toward export-heavy Indian players: Welspun Living

WELENT
— Higher US home textile demand + pricing recovery potential Gokaldas Export
GOKEX
X — Better apparel export competitiveness vs Asian peers Dr Reddy’s
DRREDDY
Y — Stronger US generics pricing + supply chain diversification Ratnamani Metals (RATNAMANI) — Higher engineering exports + energy infra demand from US supply chains

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