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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

15th Nov · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Travel Demand Rebounds Despite Tariff Pressures: Why India’s Holiday Season Looks Strong

Despite US tariff pressures and geopolitical tensions, Indian travel demand is recovering strongly, driven by holiday spending, pent-up demand, and stable consumer sentiment. Thomas Cook India reports that travel demand is rebounding after a difficult period influenced by US tariff levies, India–Pakistan tensions, and the Israel–Iran conflict. These factors had marginally impacted profitability in the September quarter, especially for long-haul travel. Key Demand Drivers Holiday season bookings are rising across domestic and short-haul international routes. Stable discretionary spending among urban consumers is supporting package travel. Corporate travel is normalizing as global events settle. Improved airline capacity is easing prices in select routes. Why the Rebound Matters The travel sector acts as a barometer of consumer confidence. A pickup in travel activity indicates steady demand recovery despite global uncertainty. Tariffs and external shocks can temporarily affect margins, but underlying demand remains resilient. Long-Term Outlook Structural growth in outbound Indian travellers Rising middle-class disposable income Strong domestic tourism infrastructure Preference for experience-driven spending The overall trend suggests a promising holiday season and improving travel sentiment, even with occasional global disruptions. Travel services companies—those who plan tours, packages, forex, and corporate travel—naturally feel the uptick first. These include:

THOMASCOOK
mas Cook India
INDIGO
EASEMYTRIP
ers (EaseMyTrip)

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