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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

24th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

When Power Meets Limits – What the US Tariff Ruling Means for India

Separation of powers shapes policy outcomes; global trade shocks create sectoral winners and losers in emerging markets like India. Last week, the Supreme Court of the United States struck down President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling that emergency powers under IEEPA did not authorize broad tariff imposition. At the heart of the case was a constitutional principle influenced by Montesquieu — power must be divided. The power to levy tariffs belongs to Congress, not the Executive. The Court didn’t question the emergency. It questioned authority. Why does this matter to Indian markets? Because global tariff shocks reshape supply chains. When US import policy becomes uncertain, capital reallocates. India often becomes a relative beneficiary. • IT Services exporters like TCS

TCS
and Infosys
INFY
– Stable outsourcing demand during trade friction. • Pharma majors such as Sun Pharma
SUNPHARMA
and Dr. Reddy’s
DRREDDY
– Defensive exports to regulated markets. • Specialty chemical players like SRF
SRF
and PI Industries – China+1 diversification tailwind. • Auto ancillary exporters like Bharat Forge – Supply chain realignment opportunity. • Electronics manufacturers like Dixon Technologies – Import substitution momentum. If US tariffs weaken or become procedural, volatility may reduce. But if alternative tariff routes (Section 232/301) emerge, uncertainty remains. The story is not about one President. It is about systems. Courts enforced boundaries. Markets now price policy friction, not policy shock. Global trade is a chessboard. India is no longer a spectator — it is a square players must consider.

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