📈 Indian Stock Market Outlook – Week Ahead

🔑 Top 5 Triggers to Watch 1️⃣ Trump–Putin Meeting Outcome Progress but no deal: Both leaders agreed to continue talks. Markets view this as a geopolitical de-escalation, mildly positive for risk sentiment. 2️⃣ GST Reforms (Independence Day Speech) PM Modi hinted at next-gen GST reforms by Diwali 2025. Likely beneficiaries: FMCG, consumer durables, agri-linked plays as GST slab rationalisation boosts consumption. 3️⃣ US Fed Minutes (due Wednesday) Any hint of rate cuts could ease FII selling pressure. No cut signal = stronger US Dollar & yields → possible continuation of FII outflows. 4️⃣ Tariff Risks from US–India Trade Tensions Renewed fears of Trump’s tariffs on India. However, experts see GDP impact <0.2%, suggesting muted medium-term risk. 5️⃣ Positive Domestic Macro Setup Low inflation, record monsoon coverage, and rate cuts positioning India as a domestic demand-driven story. Potential near-term catalyst for banking, autos, infra, and consumption plays. 📊 Technical View Nifty 50 Strong base at 24,350 (bullish engulfing on weekly). Resistance: 24,700–24,800 (20- & 50-DMAs). Breakout could extend towards 24,950 → 25,080 → 25,225. Supports: 24,575 (100-DMA) and 24,350 (crucial). Bank Nifty Support at 55,000 (100-DMA). Resistance at 55,800 (20- & 50-DMAs). Breakout above could fuel upside to 56,400 → 57,000 → 57,350. Weakness only below 55,000. #nifty50 #Banknifty #StockMarket #INDIA