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Tejaswi

17th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

NTPC's Nuclear Leap: Shareholder Win?

The Shanti Bill opens India's nuclear sector to private players, boosting NTPC's expansion plans. This policy shift supports reliable clean power for data centers and round-the-clock needs. NTPC aims to add 2.1 GW by 2037 and target 30 GW by 2047, aiding India's 100 GW goal.​ Key Projects Boost Growth NTPC's Mahi Banswara Rajasthan project features four 700 MW units, totaling 2,800 MW at ₹50,000 crore cost, due by 2032. Power will serve Rajasthan, Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, and Andhra Pradesh. Excavation for Units 1-2 is underway; other packages follow soon.​

NTPC
formed NTPC Nuclear Energy Corporation in January 2025 and a JV with NPCIL called Anushakti Vidhyut Nigam. It eyes sites in 16 states for 700-1,600 MW plants using PHWRs, PWRs, and SMRs. Global tenders for 6-10 GW PWRs are imminent, with talks on Rosatom NDA and EDF interest.​ Uranium and Tech Security NTPC explores overseas uranium buys with Uranium Corporation of India for fuel stability. It plans SMR conversions of coal units and indigenous tech for smaller plants, partnering abroad for larger ones. This diversification cuts coal reliance.​ Shareholder Benefits and Risks Nuclear offers stable baseload revenue, lifting long-term earnings amid clean energy shift. With 84 GW capacity now, nuclear adds high-margin growth despite capex needs. Valuation at 13.1x P/E is reasonable vs. peers, with 9.9% RoCE and 12.1% RoE.​ Yet Q2 FY26 profit fell 4% YoY to ₹5,067 crore, causing a 3% stock dip. High investments may pressure short-term returns in capital-heavy nuclear. Overall, policy tailwinds and execution make it beneficial for patient shareholders.

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