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Small Caps: Cheap for a Reason? Data Says Yes (But Look Closer)
Market Cap vs Drawdown & EV/EBITDA
- < ₹2,000 Cr → -33% drawdown | 11.3x
- ₹2,000–5,000 Cr → -29% | 13x
- ₹5,000–10,000 Cr → -26% | 16.5x
- ₹10,000–25,000 Cr → -22% | 17.7x
- ₹25,000–50,000 Cr → -20% | 22.3x
- > ₹50,000 Cr → -12.6% | 21.1x
Clear Pattern
- Smaller company → deeper fall (26–33% corrections)
- Smaller company → lower valuation multiple (11–16x)
- Larger company → shallower correction (~13–20%)
- Larger company → richer valuations (~21–22x)
Translation
- Small caps already corrected 26–33% from 52W highs
- Now trade at 11–16x EV/EBITDA
- Large caps corrected ~13–20% at ~21–22x
Key Takeaway: Small caps look cheap post-correction but deeper drawdowns signal higher risk – not a free lunch despite the valuation gap.#TechnicalViews
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