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Capex Expansion Positions
MAZDOCK
(MDL), India’s leading defence shipbuilder, is poised for a major scale-up as it targets an ambitious ₹1 lakh crore order book by H1FY27, compared with the current ₹23,758 crore. With mega defence contracts in advanced stages of discussion and aggressive capex underway, MDL is positioning itself for sustained revenue visibility and enhanced execution capabilities. While near-term growth remains steady, the real catalyst lies in securing large submarine and destroyer projects.
Order Book & Pipeline
- Current order book: ₹23,758 crore, ~2x annual revenue, visibility for 2–2.5 years.
- Mega pipeline:
- ₹70,000 crore P-75I Submarine Project (advanced discussions).
- ₹1.55 lakh crore opportunity across Next-Gen Destroyers (P-15C/P-18) and P-17B Frigates.
- Target: ₹1 lakh crore order book milestone by H1FY27.
Strategic Capex & Expansion
- ₹1,000 crore investment in yard de-bottlenecking and upgrades for P-75I.
- ₹5,000 crore planned over five years for a greenfield commercial shipyard at Thoothukudi, Tamil Nadu.
- Current capacity: Ability to construct 11 submarines simultaneously.
- Export ambitions: Scorpene-class submarines to Asian nations.
Operational Performance (Q3FY26)
- Revenue: ₹3,601 crore, +14.6% YoY.
- EBITDA margin: 24.6%, down from 26% YoY due to higher operating expenses, but above long-term guidance of 15%.
- FY26 revenue target: ₹12,500 crore.
- Ship repair segment: Colombo Dockyard revenue to rise from ₹1,000 crore to ₹1,500 crore over two years.
Outlook & Valuation
- Stock trades at 26x FY28 earnings, reflecting optimism but also pricing in execution risks.
- Near-term growth supported by existing order book; medium-term hinges on securing mega contracts.
- Strategic investments in infrastructure and diversification into exports strengthen long-term positioning.
- Key monitorables: Timely award of P-75I and destroyer projects, margin sustainability, and execution of large-scale capex.#FundamentalViews
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