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TrueNorth Capital

26th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

KALYANKJIL
’s Q3 Growth Overshadowed by Investor Concerns

KALYANKJIL
reported a strong Q3FY26 performance, with 22% YoY revenue growth, but its stock fell sharply—12% in two trading sessions, hitting a 52-week low of ₹370. The decline reflects investor concerns around gold price volatility, tariff uncertainty, and margin pressures, despite healthy festive-season demand and strong performance from key brands. Revenue and Brand Performance - Consolidated revenue grew 22% YoY, driven by festive demand. - Key brands—Candere, Tyaani, and Thangamayil Jewellers—showed strong traction. - Candere’s revenue rose 21% YoY, while Tyaani grew 45% YoY. - Thangamayil posted 9% YoY growth, with margin improvement. Gold Price and Tariff Headwinds - Gold prices surged to ₹65,000 per 10g, up from ₹58,000 YoY, impacting affordability. - Price volatility led to shorter buying cycles and lower ticket sizes. - Tariff-related uncertainty and potential policy changes added to investor caution. Profitability and Margins - Gross margin pressures persisted due to high gold prices and competitive pricing. - Despite strong revenue, net profit growth lagged, prompting earnings downgrades. - Analysts expect margin recovery only if gold prices stabilize. Store Expansion and Strategy - Kalyan added new stores across Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, focusing on regional demand. - Management remains committed to expanding footprint while maintaining brand equity. - Inventory and working capital management remain key focus areas. Valuation and Investor Sentiment - Stock fell 12% in two days, erasing recent gains. - Analysts cite valuation concerns, especially amid macro risks. - Tariff clarity and gold price stability could restore investor confidence. - Long-term growth potential remains intact, but near-term volatility may persist.

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