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TrueNorth Capital

7th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

MEESHO
’s Value-Commerce Flywheel Strengthens Despite Margin Pressure

MEESHO
, India’s value-focused e-commerce marketplace, reported its first earnings post-listing in Q3FY26, showcasing strong growth in users and orders but margin pressure from logistics investments. Net Merchandise Value (NMV) rose 26% YoY to ₹10,995 crore, while revenue grew 31% YoY to ₹3,518 crore. Despite widening EBITDA losses, the company maintained positive free cash flow, reinforcing its capital-efficient model catering to Tier 2, 3, and rural markets. Financial Performance - NMV: ₹10,995 crore, up 26% YoY; combined Q2+Q3 NMV up 37% YoY. - Revenue: ₹3,518 crore, up 31% YoY, driven by user and order growth. - Contribution margin: 2.3% of NMV, down due to logistics inefficiencies. - Adjusted EBITDA loss: ₹480 crore, or -4.4% of NMV. - Free cash flow: ₹56 crore LTM, supported by upfront payments and asset-light model. User and Order Growth - Placed orders: 69 crore, up 35% YoY. - Annual Transacting Users (ATUs): 25.1 crore, up 34% YoY. - Order frequency: 9.8x, up 10% YoY, reflecting stronger repeat behavior. - Newer cohorts show higher year-one purchase frequency, aided by catalogue and delivery improvements. Logistics and Valmo Impact - Valmo logistics scale-up caused 100 bps margin hit, plus 16 bps restructuring cost. - Short-term higher-cost contracts signed to meet festive demand. - Optimisation underway: route rationalisation, partner consolidation, automation. - Valmo seen as a structural moat, lowering return-to-origin (RTO) rates and boosting reliability. Category Expansion - Meesho Mall grew 70% YoY, led by beauty, personal care, and grocery. - Home and kitchen categories scaling rapidly, supporting higher wallet share. - Diversification improves seller quality and cohort maturity. Outlook - FY26 expected to be peak EBITDA loss year; margins to improve from FY27 as logistics stabilise. - Growth flywheel—higher orders, better logistics density, improved service quality—supports long-term economics.

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