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TrueNorth Capital

12th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Middle East Disruptions Hit Tile Sector Costs

India’s ceramic tile manufacturers are facing margin pressure due to rising global energy prices and gas supply curbs triggered by geopolitical tensions in West Asia. The industry’s dependence on natural gas and propane for tile firing and processing has made it vulnerable to cost inflation. Companies like

SOMANYCERA
,
KAJARIACER
, and
ORIENTBELL
are caught between passing on costs and protecting demand, as the sector grapples with a sharp rise in input expenses. Global Context & Exposure - Tensions between the US and Iran have disrupted shipping routes and gas supply chains. - Aluminium Bahrain invoked force majeure due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions. - Qatalum announced partial shutdowns due to gas shortages. - Middle East contributes only modestly to India’s ceramic tile exports: - UAE: 8% - Israel: 6% - Iraq & Kuwait: 3% each - Oman: 2%; others: 1% or less Industry Impact - Rising fuel costs have squeezed margins across tile makers. - Companies face a dilemma: raise prices and risk demand, or absorb costs and see profitability shrink. - Stocks of leading players have been volatile, reflecting investor concerns over margin compression. - Demand outlook remains uncertain amid pricing pressures and global energy instability. Valuation & Outlook - Despite limited export exposure to the Middle East, energy price volatility has a direct impact on domestic operations. - Companies may need to recalibrate pricing strategies and explore alternative energy sources or efficiency measures. - Near-term earnings could remain under pressure, but structural demand from housing and infrastructure may offer medium-term support. - Investors will be watching for signs of cost pass-through, margin recovery, and demand resilience in upcoming quarters.

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