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TrueNorth Capital

24th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

NESTLEIND
Delivers Stellar Q4FY26

NESTLEIND
reported a strong Q4FY26, with revenue, volume growth, and EBITDA margin all hitting multi-quarter highs. Operating revenue rose 22.6% YoY to ₹6,748 crore, driven by 20.5% volume plus mix growth on a low base, while pricing contributed just 3%. The company’s execution across distribution, omni-channel strategy, advertising, and product innovation helped it gain market share in key categories. Growth Drivers Distribution expansion: reached 216,000 villages, up from 208,500 a year ago. Omni-channel strategy: scaled e-commerce and quick commerce with platform-specific packs. Advertising & brand investments: ad spends up 50% YoY. Product innovation: across categories, supporting premiumization and share gains. Margins & Profitability Gross margin: declined YoY for the sixth straight quarter. EBITDA margin: rose 103bps YoY to 26.3%, reversing six quarters of decline. FY26 performance: revenue growth 14.6%, EBITDA margin down 69bps to 22.9%. Outlook & Risks Near-term growth supported by rural expansion, premiumization in coffee/chocolates, and omni-channel execution. Risks: GST-related benefits will phase out from Q3FY27. Growth in Maggi and Milks & Nutrition expected to normalize. Rising milk prices and unseasonal rains hurting wheat harvest. Competitive pressure from regional brands. Potentially slower traction in new launches. Systematix warns growth could decelerate in FY27 as base effects fade. Valuation Context Stock trades at 66x FY28E earnings, reflecting premium positioning. Execution consistency and leadership justify valuations, but sustainability of growth is the key investor question. Conclusion Nestlé India’s Q4FY26 results underscore robust execution and market share gains, with margins recovering after a prolonged decline. However, cost pressures, normalization in core categories, and competitive intensity could temper FY27 growth.

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