in FY25—deploying a 4G network across 100,000 BSNL sites—has turned into a prolonged financial struggle. The company is still awaiting BSNL’s ₹1,526 crore add-on order for 18,685 sites, forcing it to hold ₹2,300 crore of inventory for four straight quarters. With revenue collapsing and losses mounting, investors are questioning the firm’s financial model, cash runway, and dependence on a single customer.
Order Delay and Inventory Overhang
- BSNL add-on order of ₹1,526 crore remains pending despite advanced purchase order (APO) issued in May 2025.
- Inventory levels: ₹2,300 crore, nearly double the order book size of ₹1,329 crore.
- Long working capital cycle has severely constrained cash flows.
Financial Performance
- Q3FY26: ₹197 crore net loss, vs ₹166 crore profit YoY.
- Revenue fell 88% YoY to ₹307 crore.
- 9M FY26: ₹698 crore loss, vs ₹518 crore profit YoY.
- Recurring EBITDA losses of ₹150 crore per quarter raise questions about sustainability.
Investor Concerns and Stock Impact
- Shares fell 8.9% to ₹380 post Q3 results.
- In 2025, stock price dropped 61.7% from ₹1,185.70.
- Analysts highlight risks from single-customer dependency on BSNL and lack of private telco adoption.
Management Response
- COO Arnob Roy acknowledged challenges but remained bullish on business prospects.
- Company insists BSNL rollout will happen soon, citing DoT’s continued investment in 4G expansion.
- Claims negligible risk of inventory obsolescence.
Strategic Outlook
- Heavy reliance on BSNL remains a structural vulnerability.
- Experts urge greater focus on R&D and innovation to diversify beyond state-owned contracts.
- Tejas says 70% of employees are in R&D, working on next-gen network technologies.
- Execution of BSNL orders is critical to restoring profitability and investor confidence.