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TrueNorth Capital

25th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Strategic Shift in LIC 's Portfolio

LIC is moving away from a momentum-driven investment strategy towards a focus on deep-value and high-conviction opportunities. This significant shift is evident in its increased shareholding in five key companies during the quarter:

PATANJALI
,
SHYAMMETL
,
BHARATFORG
,
FLUOROCHEM
, and
HAVELLS
. Contrarian Bet on Patanjali Foods (PFL): LIC adopted a contrarian stance on Patanjali Foods, raising its stake by 1.48 percentage points to 9.14%. This occurred while foreign and retail investors reduced their positions. LIC's rationale likely stems from PFL's valuation comfort (trailing P/E of 53x, below its five-year median of 60x) and its strategies for growth, including retail expansion and direct distribution to 4 million outlets, despite recent softness in its foods & FMCG segment. Long-Term View on Shyam Metalics and Energy (SMEL): LIC aggressively increased its stake in Shyam Metalics by 1.01 percentage points to 5.47%, even as FPIs and retail investors reduced their holdings. This move suggests LIC's long-term optimism about the industrial metal cycle and strong fundamentals. Despite a high trailing P/E of 28x, analysts justify the premium due to robust domestic demand for ferro alloys and structural steel, bolstered by government infrastructure initiatives. Confidence in Bharat Forge: LIC bolstered its holding in Bharat Forge by 91 basis points to 4.95%. This increase, alongside rising stakes from mutual funds and retail investors (while FPIs pared exposure), indicates a growing domestic investor confidence in the auto components and defense equipment player. This collective belief likely stems from the company's strong market position and future growth prospects.

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