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TrueNorth Capital

4th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Tata Motors: The Road Ahead

TATAMOTORS
Challenges Ahead for Tata Motors EV: Plummeting Market Share: Declined from 73% in 2023 to 35.4% by May 2025. Declining Sales: EV sales fell 13% year-on-year in FY25, while competitors saw triple-digit growth. Intensifying Competition: Rivals are aggressively competing on price, range, charging speed, and battery longevity. Innovative Competitor Models: JSW MG Motor's Battery-as-a-Service (BaaS) model addressed major EV adoption barriers (upfront cost, battery replacement) that Tata had not, positioning them close to the top spot. Policy Shifts: Reduced 15% import duty for foreign companies investing $500 million in India opens up the market. Loss of Subsidies: Expiry of the FAME-II scheme in March 2024 eliminated Tata's cost advantages, impacting its entire EV portfolio. Opportunities for Tata Motors: JLR's Electrification: JLR serves as the backbone of the company's topline, with plans to make Jaguar an all-electric brand by 2026. Battery Manufacturing Scale: Its battery arm, Agratas, is establishing a 40 GWh gigafactory in the UK and a 20 GWh plant in Gujarat, ensuring battery supply. Strong Commercial Vehicle Segment: The commercial vehicle segment in India continues to hold strong, providing stability. Strategic Demerger: The decision to demerge its commercial and passenger vehicle businesses could grant the EV unit greater flexibility to enhance its competitive edge.

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