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TrueNorth Capital

10th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

TCS
Posts First Full-Year Revenue Decline Since Listing

TCS
closed FY26 with a 0.5% decline in full-year revenue in dollar terms to $30.08 billion, marking its first annual revenue drop since listing. Net profit rose 3.5% to $3.47 billion, while Q4FY26 revenue showed a modest sequential recovery of 1.5% to $7.62 billion. The results highlight a shifting demand environment, with macro uncertainty and the early impact of artificial intelligence (AI) weighing on traditional growth drivers. Management remains optimistic about FY27, citing strong client engagement and long-term deal commitments. Financial Performance - Dollar terms: Revenue down 0.5% YoY to $30.08 billion; net profit up 3.5%. - Rupee terms: Revenue rose 4.6% YoY to ₹2,67,021 crore, aided by currency weakness. - Q4FY26: Revenue up 5.4% sequentially to ₹70,698 crore; net profit growth aligned with revenue. - Operating margin: 25%, stable. - Headcount: Fell by 23,460, reflecting the company’s largest layoff in FY26. Business Drivers & Challenges - India business: Revenue fell 32%, dragging overall performance. - Sectoral mix: BFSI, consumer, and energy & utilities account for over half of revenue. - Macro headwinds: West Asia conflict and global volatility impacted demand. - AI disruption: Early signs of structural change in delivery models, requiring adaptation. Market & Analyst Views - Shares down 19% YTD, the steepest decline among peers Infosys and HCL Tech. - Analysts note revenue decline was anticipated, with actual numbers beating Bloomberg consensus of $28.55 billion. - Anand Rathi Institutional Equities suggests doubling down on BFSI, consumer, and utilities, alongside legacy modernization and AI-led deals. Outlook TCS expects a gradual recovery in FY27, supported by strong client engagement and deal wins. Execution in high-growth verticals and adaptation to AI-led delivery will be critical to regaining momentum.

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