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Ujvin Nevatia

4th May · SEBI-Registered Analyst

M&M Set for Strong Q4 Growth, But Margins Tell a Different Story

M&M
is expected to post a strong Q4 performance, with profit after tax likely to rise up to 48% year-on-year and revenue growing up to 24%, driven by robust volumes in both automotive and tractor segments. The growth is largely volume-led, supported by strong demand across SUVs and farm equipment. However, despite solid yearly expansion, analysts expect a sequential dip in profitability due to rising input costs, higher EV mix, and weaker operating leverage. This creates a mixed earnings picture—strong top-line momentum but pressure on margins and efficiency. Industry Outlook The outlook for the auto sector remains structurally positive, with volume growth continuing to drive revenue expansion. Companies like M&M are benefiting from strong demand cycles across both rural (tractors) and urban (SUVs) segments. However, the sector is clearly entering a phase where growth is no longer translating cleanly into profitability. Rising input costs, increasing EV investments, and changing product mix are compressing margins even as revenues rise. This signals a broader shift in the industry—from volume-driven growth to a more complex balance between expansion and cost control. While demand remains resilient, sustaining profitability will become increasingly challenging. Overall, the near-term outlook reflects strong growth visibility but tightening operational efficiency, making margins—not volumes—the key variable to watch. Source: Economic Times No Recommendations

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