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Ujvin Nevatia

22nd May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

PSU Banks & Select Private Lenders: Value Amid Volatility?

In a landscape clouded by global market jitters—from rate hike fears to geopolitical uncertainty—India’s banking sector continues to offer selective resilience, especially in the PSU and mid-tier private bank space. According to market veteran Chakri Lokapriya, both PSU banks and certain private lenders remain fundamentally attractive, driven by improving credit metrics and favorable structural tailwinds. Why the Optimism? Repair Cycle Nearing Completion Over the past few years, PSU banks have gone through intense balance sheet repair—reducing NPAs, enhancing provisioning, and improving ROEs. Most are now entering a growth phase, supported by cleaner books and increased capital adequacy. Credit Growth Still Robust Despite macro volatility, India’s domestic credit cycle remains healthy, especially in retail, SME, and infra segments. This supports net interest income growth even if margins face minor compression. Attractive Valuations While private banks trade at a premium (e.g.,

HDFCBANK
,
ICICIBANK
), PSU lenders such as
CANBK
,
BANKBARODA
, and
UNIONBANK
are still trading at discounted price-to-book multiples, offering room for re-rating as investor confidence returns. Resilience to Global Headwinds India’s largely domestic-oriented banking system is relatively insulated from global shocks, giving investors a potential safe harbor amid global market volatility. What to Watch: Capital adequacy and provisioning buffers Digital transformation pace among PSU lenders Execution risks in expanding retail loan books Investor Insight: For those with a medium- to long-term horizon, PSU banks and select private players (like Federal Bank and IDFC FIRST Bank) offer a balance of value and growth, even in a shaky macro environment. Patience, once again, is the differentiator. Source: The Economic Times No Recommendations

#MacroViews#EquityResearch
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