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’s Q2FY26 profit is projected to rise about 38% year-on-year on a favourable base and resilient margins, even as elevated gold prices and a back-ended festive calendar likely moderate jewellery growth versus recent quarters. Brokerages expect steady core execution with mix support from studded, wedding, and exchange-led volumes, but note that high-ticket discretionary purchases can get deferred when bullion spikes.
What to track
* Jewellery growth and mix: Watch like-for-like growth, studded share, and exchange programs; higher studded mix can cushion gross margins despite bullion inflation.
* Margins and hedging: Gross margin resilience will hinge on gold hedging efficacy and inventory gains/losses; operating leverage from network additions may be partly offset by marketing spends.
* Non-jewellery engines: Watches/wearables and eyewear are expected to post healthy growth; traction in Taneira and emerging categories offers optionality for FY26–FY27.
* Store expansion: Network additions and market share gains in organised jewellery are key leading indicators for H2 demand and long-term compounding.
* Festive timing: With key festivals shifting into Q3, management commentary on October sell-throughs and wedding season demand will frame H2 run-rate.
* Working capital: Inventory discipline amid volatile gold is crucial; monitor cash conversion cycles and any change in gold-on-lease utilisation.
Market lens
A print with stable jewellery margins, improving studded mix, and healthy non-jewellery growth is likely to be received constructively, even if reported jewellery topline is softer due to bullion-induced demand deferral. The medium-term thesis—organised share gains, brand trust, and category expansion—remains intact; near-term stock reaction will track commentary on festive/wedding demand and margin sustainability into H2FY26.
Source: The Economic Times
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