is currently showing a strong bullish recovery after a significant period of consolidation and correction.
After hitting a peak in early 2024 near the 190–200 range the stock underwent a healthy correction finding a bottom around the 110–120 level in late 2024/early 2025. The stock has formed a Higher High and Higher Low pattern recently. It has successfully recovered most of its losses and is now trading at 187.47 very close to its previous lifetime highs. The sharp bounce-back from the 160 level indicates strong institutional buying interest.
Immediate resistance the 190–195 zone is the final hurdle. A decisive close above this level could trigger a Blue Sky Zone breakout leading to fresh all-time highs. Major support 160 (the previous swing low). As long as the stock stays above 160 the medium-term trend remains bullish. Bullish scenario if it breaks and stays above 195 we could see a fast move toward 210–220.
News: Middle East Geopolitical Tension
A bearish turn for IOC could be triggered if rising Crude Oil prices due to Middle East tensions squeeze the company’s profit margins, as high input costs hurt refiners. Technically if the stock fails to break the strong resistance at 190–195 it may face heavy profit-booking and enter a Double Top reversal. Additionally if the March 6 dividend announcement is lower than investor expectations the stock could lose its immediate buying support. A decisive break below the 180 level would confirm weakness potentially dragging the price down toward 172 or 165. Overall a combination of expensive oil and a failed breakout remains the biggest threat to its current uptrend.