Vijay Kumar Gupta, SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020226)
📌 My View (Short-Term):
The stock has given a strong breakout with heavy volume and is now sustaining near multi-month highs. Positive sentiment is backed by both technical momentum and improving travel/hospitality fundamentals.
📊 Chart Insight (1D Timeframe):
Price is comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud — strong bullish zone.
Recent candles holding gains after a breakout; bullish consolidation visible.
Volume spike confirms institutional accumulation.
CCI remains elevated at 139+, indicating bullish momentum.
TTM Squeeze turning green with rising histogram bars – signs of trend expansion.
CMF in positive territory, showing money inflow.
🧠 Fundamentals & News Flow:
Business: Lemon Tree is India's largest mid-priced hotel chain, operating over 8,600 rooms across 50+ cities.
Industry Tailwind: Domestic travel demand and business tourism are rebounding sharply in FY26.
Recent Updates:
Added new premium segment rooms under ‘Aurika’ and ‘Lemon Tree Premier’.
Operational occupancy crossed ~80%+ in metro cities.
Management guiding for aggressive asset-light expansion in Tier 2/3 towns.
Financials (Q4FY25):
Revenue: ₹254 Cr (YoY growth ~20%)
EBITDA Margin: ~48%
Net Profit: ₹39 Cr vs ₹22 Cr YoY
Debt reduction and improving RevPAR metrics boosting investor confidence.
🧩 Sentiment Drivers:
Positive earnings trajectory with margin expansion.
FII interest increasing in travel and hospitality post-COVID re-rating.
Government's tourism push and G20-driven infra upgrades indirectly benefit Lemon Tree.
Market view only – not a recommendation.