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VIJAY KUMAR GUPTA

22nd Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

LEMONTREE

LEMONTREE
Vijay Kumar Gupta, SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020226) 📌 My View (Short-Term): The stock has given a strong breakout with heavy volume and is now sustaining near multi-month highs. Positive sentiment is backed by both technical momentum and improving travel/hospitality fundamentals. 📊 Chart Insight (1D Timeframe): Price is comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud — strong bullish zone. Recent candles holding gains after a breakout; bullish consolidation visible. Volume spike confirms institutional accumulation. CCI remains elevated at 139+, indicating bullish momentum. TTM Squeeze turning green with rising histogram bars – signs of trend expansion. CMF in positive territory, showing money inflow. 🧠 Fundamentals & News Flow: Business: Lemon Tree is India's largest mid-priced hotel chain, operating over 8,600 rooms across 50+ cities. Industry Tailwind: Domestic travel demand and business tourism are rebounding sharply in FY26. Recent Updates: Added new premium segment rooms under ‘Aurika’ and ‘Lemon Tree Premier’. Operational occupancy crossed ~80%+ in metro cities. Management guiding for aggressive asset-light expansion in Tier 2/3 towns. Financials (Q4FY25): Revenue: ₹254 Cr (YoY growth ~20%) EBITDA Margin: ~48% Net Profit: ₹39 Cr vs ₹22 Cr YoY Debt reduction and improving RevPAR metrics boosting investor confidence. 🧩 Sentiment Drivers: Positive earnings trajectory with margin expansion. FII interest increasing in travel and hospitality post-COVID re-rating. Government's tourism push and G20-driven infra upgrades indirectly benefit Lemon Tree. Market view only – not a recommendation.

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