Vijay Kumar Gupta, SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000020226)
📌 My View (Short-Term):
The stock is rangebound near the top of a consolidation zone with low volatility. Price compression indicates possible buildup before directional move, supported by stable fundamentals.
📊 Chart Insight (1D Timeframe):
Price hovering within a fair value gap near ₹1080–₹1090 zone.
Ichimoku cloud still showing bullish trend bias; price above cloud.
CCI cooling off, currently around -80, indicating temporary loss of momentum.
TTM Squeeze is on — low volatility with possible buildup.
CMF marginally positive, indicating muted but steady inflow.
Overall, sideways bias with mild bullish undertone as long as support levels hold.
🧠 Fundamentals & News Flow:
Business: PNB Housing is one of India’s largest housing finance companies, primarily focused on retail housing loans.
Recent Updates:
Q4FY25 consolidated PAT at ₹439 Cr, up ~57% YoY.
NIM stable at ~3.65%; AUM growth of 9% YoY.
Gross NPA improved to 1.42% vs 2.32% YoY – strong asset quality rebound.
Retail disbursements saw 30% YoY jump led by Tier 2/3 cities.
Strategic Shift: Focus on affordable and salaried segment; reduction in corporate book.
Management Outlook: Targeting 15–18% loan book growth in FY26, aided by digital sourcing.
🧩 Key Sentiment Drivers:
Positive sector outlook due to housing demand revival and interest rate stability.
FII flows and HFC re-rating theme supporting the stock.
Stable ROA/ROE metrics and improving GNPA trend building investor confidence.
🔗 ***** | SEBI INH000020226 | Personal view only – not an investment recommendation.