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Vineet Saxena

16th Sep · SEBI Registration INH000013855

How a Stock Gets Cheaper Without Its Price Falling?

Most investors think there's only one way a expensive stock becomes affordable again, the price has to crash. That's wrong, and understanding why changes how you time entries. Two ways valuation corrects: 1. Price correction: The stock falls, earnings stay flat. P/E drops because the numerator fell. This is the obvious one. 2. Time correction: The price goes sideways or drifts mildly, but earnings keep growing. P/E drops because the denominator rose. The stock got cheaper without ever looking like it crashed. The second one is where most opportunities hide, because it doesn't feel dramatic, nothing on the price chart screams "buy." Azad Engineering shows this clearly: Jan 2024: P/E ~14x, earnings were small, stock was quiet Mid-2024: P/E spiked to ~150x as the stock ran up hard, far ahead of profits Through 2025: price drifted sideways while quarterly earnings kept climbing steadily Dec 2025-Jan 2026: P/E had compressed to ~78-80x — below its ~101x median, largely because earnings caught up, not because the stock collapsed From there, the next leg up began How to actually use this: Track the stock's P/E trend against its own historical median, not just its price chart. A stock at ₹1,000 after a 50% run can be cheaper than it was at ₹700 a year earlier, if profits grew faster than the price did. Before re-entering, confirm three things: P/E is at or below the stock's own median range; Earnings are still growing quarter-on-quarter, the de-rating came from profit growth, not profit collapse; The business driver is intact: order wins, revenue, margins. The takeaway: Don't wait for a crash to re-enter a good stock. Wait for earnings to catch up to the price, that's the quieter, more reliable entry.

#PersonalFinance#PsychologyofMoney#EquityResearch#MacroViews#FundamentalViews
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