One97 Communications Ltd Share Price Today

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Vivek kumar

16 Sep • 9:05 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

this stock hits 52 week high !! chart analysis

Support & Resistance Resistance 1: ₹1,855–₹1,860 This is the fresh 52-week-high zone. A decisive close above this area would establish another breakout level. Resistance 2: ₹1,900 ₹1,900 is a psychological round-number level. Such levels can attract profit booking because traders frequently place orders around large round numbers. Resistance 3: ₹2,000 ₹2,000 would become the next major psychological reference if the momentum continues. On the downside: Support 1: ₹1,800 This is the first zone to monitor after the current breakout. Support 2: ₹1,700–₹1,720 A deeper retracement toward this area would test whether the broader momentum structure remains intact. 4️⃣ Volume Confirmation A breakout is generally more convincing when accompanied by strong trading activity. The September 16 rally was significant enough to push PAYTM to a new yearly high, suggesting substantial market participation. For future sessions, traders can monitor whether strong volume accompanies moves above the ₹1,855 area. PAYTM's chart is currently characterized by strong momentum and a fresh 52-week-high breakout. The key technical level to monitor is the area around ₹1,800–₹1,855. Holding above the breakout zone would keep the bullish structure technically stronger, while a sharp rejection followed by a move back below the breakout area would require caution. This is technical analysis, not a buy/sell recommendation. A 52-week high by itself does not guarantee further gains, so position sizing and risk management remain important.

ArthavrkshRA

16 Sep • 7:42 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Paytm Nears IPO High as MDR News Adds Tailwind

PAYTM

has moved Rs 1,790, moving closer to its IPO listing high near 1,955, a level that has acted as long-term resistance since 2021. On the monthly chart, price has also broken above the rising trendline that had guided the recovery since the 2024 lows, with RSI at 72.07 reflecting strong long-term momentum. The move comes alongside news that UPI has introduced an MDR (Merchant Discount Rate) on select merchant payments, opening a new revenue stream for payment companies that had earlier operated this segment without one. Paytm has gained 37.5% so far in 2026, against an 11.2% fall in the Nifty 50. Resistance: 1,955, the IPO listing high zone, then the psychological 2,000-2100 mark. Support: 1,590, then the broken trendline zone near 1,350. Whether Paytm can clear the 1,955 zone on a sustained basis, a level it has not closed above since listing, will be the key technical tell to watch, with the MDR development adding a fresh fundamental angle to track alongside the chart. A multi-year resistance level like an IPO listing high often needs both price momentum and a fresh fundamental catalyst to have a real shot at being cleared. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. SEBI Registered Research Analyst — INH000025212.

CA. Hardik Kachchava

16 Sep • 5:40 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Paytm : Structural EBITDA Upside Driven by UPI MDR

PAYTM

Strategic Catalyst Following the National Payments Council of India's (NPCI) formal announcement of a Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on select Unified Payments Interface (UPI) transactions, Goldman Sachs has forecasted a "material earnings upgrade" for Paytm. The brokerage anticipates a substantial 40% to 70% upside to the company's EBITDA, driven by a finalized MDR quantum and sharing ratio that exceeded broader investor expectations. Key Regulatory Economics Standard Rate: A 0.4% MDR now applies to Person-to-Merchant (P2M) transactions exceeding ₹2,000. Person-to-Person (P2P) transfers remain entirely free. Caps & Concessions: High-value transactions above ₹75,000 are capped at a ₹300 fee. Essential utility and transit sectors (telecom, fuel, insurance, railways) carry a flat ₹5 charge. Capital market payments (mutual funds, securities) incur a minimal 0.02% MDR, strictly capped at ₹300. Total Addressable Market: Goldman Sachs estimates this regulatory shift creates an industry-wide revenue pool of approximately ₹20,600 crore. Financial & Operational Projections EBITDA Expansion: Goldman's top-down and bottom-up sensitivity analyses indicate that Paytm could recognize an incremental EBITDA of approximately ₹1,400 crore by FY2028 under an optimal scenario, though competitive market pressures will dictate the final translation rate. Market Performance & Analyst Sentiment Paytm shares rallied up to 6% in early intraday trading before stabilizing with a 2.5% gain at ₹1,739. The stock has surged over 30% year-to-date, heavily supported by the anticipation of these MDR reforms. Sell-side consensus remains decidedly bullish: of the 24 analysts covering the stock, 18 hold a "Buy" rating and 6 recommend a "Hold," with zero "Sell" ratings on the counter.

Shaly Gupta

16 Sep • 5:01 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

UPI MDR framework is particularly relevant for YES Bank

YESBANK

For YES Bank, this could be meaningful because the bank has a very large UPI infrastructure business. Its FY25 disclosures said it supported roughly one in every two merchant collections and one in every three consumer payments on UPI, and it had also taken over Paytm's merchant-collection business, adding around ₹65,000 crore of average monthly throughput. The new MDR is distributed across the UPI ecosystem. The reported framework allocates 40% to issuing banks, 30% to merchant-acquiring banks, and 20% to UPI apps, with the remaining share going to other ecosystem participants. Citi estimates YES Bank could potentially see a 6–12% improvement in profit before tax from the new UPI MDR framework, although this is a brokerage estimate, not company guidance, and the actual benefit will depend on eligible transaction volumes and the final revenue-sharing economics. Why YES Bank is reacting: the market is treating UPI MDR as a new fee-income opportunity for YES Bank rather than simply a transaction-volume story. Reuters reported that YES Bank was among the payment/banking stocks gaining after the announcement, while Citi identified it as the standout potential bank beneficiary. In one paragraph: The UPI MDR change can be an important potential earnings catalyst for YES Bank because of its large PSP and merchant-acquiring footprint; from October 15, eligible merchant UPI transactions above ₹2,000 will generate a 0.4% fee, creating a new revenue pool for the ecosystem. However, the actual benefit to YES Bank will depend on its eligible transaction mix and the revenue-sharing mechanism, so the 6–12% PBT estimate should be viewed as an analyst estimate rather than a guaranteed earnings increase.

Mayank Kumar

16 Sep • 4:59 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Why it matters for Paytm: previously, high UPI transaction

PAYTM

Why it matters for Paytm: previously, high UPI transaction volumes did not directly provide a conventional MDR revenue stream, so Paytm had to monetize merchants through subscriptions, financial services and other products. The new framework creates an additional monetisation opportunity from its existing merchant base. The actual earnings benefit will depend on Paytm's eligible transaction mix and its share of the MDR pool, so it is too early to quantify the impact. Paytm shares reacted positively to the announcement, with reports of gains during September 16 trading. In one line: The new UPI MDR framework could be a meaningful new revenue opportunity for Paytm because its large merchant network can potentially monetise eligible high-value UPI transactions from October 15, while consumers continue to use UPI free of charge.

THREETREND RESEARCH

16 Sep • 4:57 PM · SEBI-Registered Analyst

significant positive development for Paytm

PAYTM

significant positive development for Paytm. NPCI has introduced a new MDR (Merchant Discount Rate) on selected UPI merchant transactions above ₹2,000, effective October 15, 2026. The MDR can be up to 0.40%, with a maximum of ₹300 per transaction for transactions of ₹75,000 and above. Importantly, customers will not pay this charge; it is a merchant-side charge within the payments ecosystem. P2P UPI transactions remain free, and payments to merchants up to ₹2,000 also remain free. For Paytm, this is important because the company has a large merchant-payment ecosystem. Paytm itself said in its regulatory disclosure that the new MDR framework will generate additional revenue from its merchant business from transactions that were previously free. The revenue will be distributed among ecosystem participants, including banks, payment service providers and payment applications.

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