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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

10th Jul · SEBI-Registered Analyst

DLF: Multi-Signal Breakout on a Structurally Strong Real Estate Leader

DLF
DLF has delivered a high-conviction breakout after completing a prolonged corrective phase, indicating that the long-term uptrend may be resuming. Technical View Elliott Wave Structure: The stock appears to have completed a higher-degree Wave-2 correction. The recent impulsive rally from the lows suggests the early stages of Wave-3, which is typically the strongest and longest phase of an uptrend. MACD Perspective: The price formed a higher low while downside momentum weakened during the correction, indicating a bullish momentum divergence. The recent sharp price expansion supports a fresh bullish momentum cycle. AVWAP Support: Price has reclaimed and is sustaining well above the Anchored VWAP, confirming that institutional participants are accumulating at higher levels. AVWAP now acts as an important dynamic support, increasing the probability of trend continuation. Fundamental Strength DLF continues to stand out with: Strong cash generation and improving balance sheet. Healthy pre-sales supported by sustained demand in the premium real estate segment. Consistent improvement in profitability and return ratios over recent years. Asset-light growth strategy and disciplined capital allocation, providing long-term earnings visibility. What the Chart Suggests The combination of: Elliott Wave breakout, Bullish momentum confirmation, AVWAP support, And improving business fundamentals, creates a favorable setup for trend-following investors. As long as the stock continues to hold above the breakout zone, the probability of a move toward higher highs remains positive, while any pullback toward the breakout level could be viewed as a healthy retest rather than a trend reversal.

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