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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

7th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

High Momentum Breakout Setup After Consolidation in a Defence PSU 🚢📈

MAZDOCK
The chart of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is displaying an interesting post-correction breakout structure, suggesting that momentum may be returning after a prolonged consolidation phase. 1. Elliott Wave Structure Following a strong impulsive rally earlier, the stock entered a Wave 2 corrective phase, characterized by a series of lower highs and sideways consolidation. The recent sharp upward move from the lower zone indicates a possible completion of the corrective structure. If the wave count holds, the stock could now be entering Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended leg in the Elliott Wave cycle. 2. MACD Momentum Shift During the recent decline, momentum gradually weakened and started stabilizing. This type of bullish momentum divergence on MACD often signals that selling pressure is fading. The strong bullish candle emerging from the lower levels indicates that buyers are stepping in aggressively, hinting at a potential momentum reversal. 3. AVWAP Support Holding Firm The price recently bounced from a key Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) support zone, which has historically acted as an important institutional reference level. Repeated respect of this zone suggests institutional accumulation, where large market participants tend to build positions before a potential upward expansion. 4. Fundamental Strength The technical structure is supported by strong underlying fundamentals: Strategic role in defence shipbuilding and naval infrastructure Strong order book visibility from defence contracts Consistent revenue growth and improving profitability Beneficiary of increasing government focus on domestic defence manufacturing

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