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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

31st Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Jindal Stainless Breaks Out of Long Base — Wave (5) Expansion Triggered 🔩📈

JSL
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural View (Weekly Chart) Elliott Wave Structure: Jindal Stainless has completed a textbook Wave (4) correction in the form of a large rounded / cup-like base between ~₹520–₹820. The recent strong bullish candle confirms the start of Wave (5), signaling a fresh trend expansion phase rather than just a range breakout. Range Resolution & Supply Absorption: The ₹810–825 zone acted as a major multi-month supply ceiling. Price has now closed decisively above this zone, indicating that: Overhead supply has been absorbed Weak hands from the range are cleared Strong hands are in control AVWAP & Trend Support: Price is comfortably above the rising AVWAP, showing that the average institutional participant is in profit. Pullbacks toward ₹800–810 are likely to be buy-on-dips, not breakdowns, as long as AVWAP holds. Momentum & Candle Structure: The recent wide-range bullish candles after prolonged compression reflect stored energy release — a classic setup seen before fast, directional moves in Wave (5). Upside Projection (Measured Move): The height of the base projects a positional target zone of ₹1,000–1,040, aligning well with: Prior price discovery zone Wave (5) extension expectations ~22–23% upside from the breakout area Invalidation / Risk Level: The bullish structure remains intact as long as price sustains above ₹780–800 on a closing basis. A failure below this would indicate a false breakout and re-entry into range. Overall View: Jindal Stainless is transitioning from accumulation → expansion. The structure, AVWAP positioning, and breakout strength all suggest this is not a short-term trade, but the early leg of a larger impulsive move. In strong trends, markets don’t give perfect pullbacks — they reward positioning over precision.

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