Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 31st Jan
Jindal Stainless Breaks Out of Long Base — Wave (5) Expansion Triggered 🔩📈
JSL
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural View (Weekly Chart)
Elliott Wave Structure:
Jindal Stainless has completed a textbook Wave (4) correction in the form of a large rounded / cup-like base between ~₹520–₹820. The recent strong bullish candle confirms the start of Wave (5), signaling a fresh trend expansion phase rather than just a range breakout.
Range Resolution & Supply Absorption:
The ₹810–825 zone acted as a major multi-month supply ceiling. Price has now closed decisively above this zone, indicating that:
Overhead supply has been absorbed
Weak hands from the range are cleared
Strong hands are in control
AVWAP & Trend Support:
Price is comfortably above the rising AVWAP, showing that the average institutional participant is in profit. Pullbacks toward ₹800–810 are likely to be buy-on-dips, not breakdowns, as long as AVWAP holds.
Momentum & Candle Structure:
The recent wide-range bullish candles after prolonged compression reflect stored energy release — a classic setup seen before fast, directional moves in Wave (5).
Upside Projection (Measured Move):
The height of the base projects a positional target zone of ₹1,000–1,040, aligning well with:
Prior price discovery zone
Wave (5) extension expectations
~22–23% upside from the breakout area
Invalidation / Risk Level:
The bullish structure remains intact as long as price sustains above ₹780–800 on a closing basis. A failure below this would indicate a false breakout and re-entry into range.
Overall View:
Jindal Stainless is transitioning from accumulation → expansion. The structure, AVWAP positioning, and breakout strength all suggest this is not a short-term trade, but the early leg of a larger impulsive move. In strong trends, markets don’t give perfect pullbacks — they reward positioning over precision.