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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

17th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚀 “Major Range Breakout in Nestle India — Long-Term Consolidation Ending!”

NESTLEIND
🧠 Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Structure: Nestle India has been consolidating in a broad corrective phase for nearly 12 months between ₹1,080–₹1,245. The recent breakout above ₹1,245 signals the potential start of a new impulsive Wave 3, which often carries the strongest momentum in Elliott Wave theory. Price Action & Breakout Zone: The stock has decisively broken out of its 1-year range with strong bullish candles and increasing volume. This confirms a change in market structure from distribution to accumulation. The previous resistance zone near ₹1,245 now turns into a key support level. Volume Confirmation: Noticeable volume expansion on breakout days indicates institutional participation — a hallmark of sustainable trend reversals. EMA & AVWAP Context: The price is comfortably above short- and medium-term EMAs, showing a strong bullish alignment. AVWAP from the previous swing low (~₹1,100) is expected to act as trend support in upcoming pullbacks. 💼 Fundamental Strength Nestle India continues to remain a defensive yet high-growth FMCG leader: Consistent ROCE above 80%, with robust operating margins above 20%. Strong brand portfolio (Maggi, Nescafé, Cerelac, etc.) ensures pricing power and recurring demand. Healthy free cash flow generation and steady dividend payouts make it a long-term compounding stock. Post-agri and commodity inflation normalization, margin recovery is already visible in recent quarters. 🎯 Outlook Immediate target zone: ₹1,350–₹1,420 (measured move from breakout range). Positional target: ₹1,500+ if momentum sustains above ₹1,245 support. Stop-loss: ₹1,220 (below breakout retest zone).

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