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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

27th May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚢 Mazagon Dock – Explosive 98% Breakout Signals New Momentum Phase

MAZDOCK
Elliott Wave Structure: Mazagon Dock appears to have just completed Wave 4 and broken out into Wave 5, backed by strong volume and momentum. The breakout from the multi-month base confirms bullish continuation with an open runway ahead. AVWAP Levels: Major AVWAP clusters near ₹3,061 and ₹2,190, both well below the current price of ₹3,651. The steep slope and price distance from AVWAP highlight momentum strength, but also suggest a parabolic stretch — short-term caution advised. Price Action Context: Weekly breakout of nearly ₹1,892 or +98% from prior pivot confirms institutional accumulation. The candle’s body is full-bodied and clean, showing no supply zone exhaustion yet. Fundamentals: Strong order book, reliable cash flow, and government defense contracts. Plays into India’s Make in India + Defence manufacturing theme. Low debt, improving margins, and strategic geopolitical relevance boost its long-term story. 📌 Outlook & Trading Strategy Short-Term: Watch for cooling-off dips. Ideal re-entry zone near ₹3,200–₹3,060. Medium-Term: Targets open towards ₹4,400–₹5,000 if strength holds. Caution: Avoid fresh entries if risk appetite is low due to current steep run-up. ✅ Conclusion: Mazagon Dock is showcasing one of the strongest technical breakouts in the PSU space, backed by both wave structure and macro tailwinds. Smart accumulation zones may emerge after healthy retracement.

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