Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 25th Nov
🏗️ Multi-Signal Bullish Setup on a Strong Real Estate Leader!
SOBHA
Technical & Fundamental Confluence Analysis
🔹 Elliott Wave Structure
The chart suggests completion of Wave 4 correction around the ₹1,480–₹1,500 zone after a powerful impulsive Wave 3 rally from ₹1,100 to ₹2,050. Price is now consolidating and forming a potential base for the beginning of Wave 5, which could resume the long-term uptrend once momentum returns.
🔹 MACD Divergence Insight
MACD shows bullish divergence — while price made a lower low, the MACD histogram is rising, indicating weakening selling pressure and potential reversal strength building from the current support region.
🔹 AVWAP as a Key Support Zone
The price is presently holding above an important AVWAP level drawn from the previous major swing low, acting as a dynamic support. Multiple tests of this level show strong demand absorption, making it a crucial reference level for positional traders.
Fundamental Strength Snapshot
Consistent revenue and profit growth supported by strong demand in premium housing.
Healthy balance sheet with improving cash flows from ongoing and completed projects.
High ROCE & strong execution capability position the company as a leader in the real estate sector.
Price Levels to Watch
📍 Support Zone: ₹1,480–₹1,510
📍 Breakout Confirmation: Above ₹1,650 weekly close
🎯 Wave 5 Projection Targets: ₹1,850 → ₹2,050 → ₹2,280 (Fibonacci extension)
Trade Perspective
If price sustains above AVWAP and bullish momentum builds, the stock may enter Wave 5 trend continuation. Breakdown below ₹1,480 would delay the bullish structure.
Key Takeaway
This is a high reward–low risk technical zone backed by strong fundamentals and multi-signal alignment. Watching how price behaves at current support levels could offer insightful learning for structured position trading.