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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

29th May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Multi-Signal Confirmation on Fundamentally Strong Stock – ECLERX!

ECLERX
1. Elliott Wave Structure: ECLERX appears to be completing a classic 5-wave Elliott structure. The recent rally aligns with Wave 3 of a fresh impulse sequence, suggesting strong momentum is building toward a breakout of the previous high around ₹4,050–₹4,100. 2. MACD Bullish Divergence: Recent weekly lows around ₹2,250 formed while MACD registered higher lows—signaling bullish divergence. This divergence preceded the sharp rally currently underway, indicating growing underlying strength. 3. Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) Support: The AVWAP drawn from the breakout point (mid-2023 consolidation zone) is currently acting as a dynamic support. Price respected this level during the March 2025 correction, adding conviction to the recent bullish move. 4. Strong Fundamentals: ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): Above industry average, signaling capital-efficient operations. Consistent Profit Growth: Year-on-year profit and revenue growth over the past 3 years, with strong margin resilience even during corrections. Debt-Free/Low Debt: The company operates with minimal leverage, making it a defensive play in volatile markets. 📈 Conclusion: With a bullish Elliott structure, MACD divergence, AVWAP support, and strong fundamentals in place, ECLERX is approaching a critical resistance zone (~₹4,050). A decisive breakout could trigger a fresh leg of rally, potentially marking Wave 5 of the Elliott pattern. Watch for: ✅ Breakout confirmation above ₹4,050 ✅ Sustained volume expansion ✅ MACD crossover on the weekly timeframe Risk Management Tip: Consider partial entry and add on breakout-retest confirmation.

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