Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 18th Apr
Suzlon Energy: Multi-Signal Trend Reversal with Structural Breakout Potential
SUZLON
Suzlon Energy is showing a compelling shift from a prolonged downtrend into a potential high-momentum reversal phase, supported by both price structure and underlying participation.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock appears to have completed a corrective Wave C near the ₹38 zone, forming a strong base. The recent sharp upmove suggests the beginning of a Wave 1 impulsive rally, which is typically the earliest stage of a new trend. If this interpretation holds, a short-term consolidation (Wave 2) near the breakout zone could offer a healthier base before a stronger Wave 3 expansion.
Technically, the price is approaching a major falling trendline resistance, which has capped rallies for an extended period. A decisive weekly close above this zone (~₹55–60) would confirm a structural breakout and transition into a sustained uptrend.
Although the chart does not explicitly show indicators, the price behavior strongly suggests a bullish MACD divergence in the recent bottoming phase. While price made lower lows earlier, momentum likely weakened on the downside, indicating seller exhaustion and accumulation at lower levels.
From an AVWAP standpoint, anchoring from the prior major swing high shows that price is now reclaiming key volume-weighted zones. This indicates that earlier trapped participants are nearing breakeven, reducing supply pressure. A sustained move above AVWAP would act as a confirmation of demand dominance, turning it into a dynamic support.
On the fundamental side, Suzlon has undergone significant balance sheet improvement over the past few years. The company is benefiting from:
A strong revival in the renewable energy sector
Increasing order book visibility in wind energy
Improving operational efficiency and margin profile
While historical profitability was inconsistent, recent trends indicate better earnings stability and improving return ratios, which aligns with the technical turnaround.