Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 18th Mar
This is the weekly chart of REC Limited, and this one is very interesting — it’s at a decision point (not clearly bullish or bearish yet).
RECLTD
1️⃣ Overall Structure
Phase 1: Strong Uptrend
₹120 → ₹650 rally
👉 Clear institutional buying phase
Phase 2: Distribution / Correction
Lower highs forming
Downtrend line intact
👉 Smart money has been exiting gradually
2️⃣ Current Setup (VERY IMPORTANT)
Right now price is:
Sitting near ₹330–₹350 support zone
Exactly near:
Previous breakout level
200 EMA (purple line)
Also touching downtrend resistance
👉 This is called a confluence zone (high importance area)
3️⃣ What You Marked (Arrow Up)
You are expecting:
👉 Bounce → ₹450–₹480
This is possible, but only under one condition 👇
4️⃣ Bullish Scenario (If Bounce Works)
For upside to play out:
✅ Price must:
Hold above ₹320–₹330
Break trendline (very important)
Close above ₹360–₹380
👉 Then targets:
₹420
₹450–₹480 (your marked zone)
5️⃣ Bearish Scenario (More Dangerous)
If support breaks:
❌ Below ₹320:
Structure becomes lower high + lower low
Downtrend continues
👉 Targets:
₹280
₹250
6️⃣ What Smart Money is Likely Doing
At this zone:
Retail thinks: “cheap, let’s buy”
Smart money waits for:
Either clear breakout
Or clear breakdown
👉 This is a trap zone (indecision area)
7️⃣ Key Levels (Memorize This)
Resistance:
₹360–₹380 (trendline + supply)
Support:
₹320 (critical)
8️⃣ Compare With Your Previous Charts
Stock Situation
Astral Limited Clear breakout (buy)
Oil India Limited Clear breakdown (sell)
Indian Oil Corporation Limited Reversal (bearish)
REC Limited Indecision (wait)
👉 This is the biggest learning:
Not every stock is tradable at all times
9️⃣ Pro Trading Approach
Best Strategy:
👉 Wait for confirmation
Option 1 (Bullish):
Breakout above ₹380 → buy
Option 2 (Bearish):
Breakdown below ₹320 → sell
🔟 Final Summary
Factor Observation
Trend Downtrend (currently)
Zone Support + trendline
Bias Neutral (wait)
Bull Trigger ₹380 breakout
Bear Trigger ₹320 breakdown