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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

15th Sep ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿš† Titagarh Rail โ€“ Breakout Watch on Strong Base Formation

TITAGARH
๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis The stock has been in a broad consolidation zone (โ‚น680โ€“โ‚น970) for the past 7 months. Price is now retesting the upper boundary (~โ‚น966), signaling a possible range breakout. Elliott Wave structure suggests a completed corrective phase (ABC); breakout may trigger a new impulsive leg (Wave 3/5). MACD shows bullish momentum, with histogram expanding positively. AVWAP from Dec 2024 high is around โ‚น920, now acting as a strong support zone. ๐Ÿ’ก Fundamental Strength Titagarh is a leader in rail systems, wagons, and metro manufacturing, directly benefiting from Indiaโ€™s railway capex push. Strong order book visibility and expanding export opportunities enhance growth prospects. Consistent profit growth and improving margins highlight operational efficiency. High ROCE & ROE reflect effective capital utilization. ๐Ÿ“Œ Conclusion: A decisive breakout above โ‚น970 with volume confirmation could open the path toward โ‚น1,150โ€“โ‚น1,200 levels, while downside remains protected near โ‚น880โ€“โ‚น900 support.

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