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Dhwani Patel

1st Sep · SEBI Registration INH200008608

Titan - Earnings and Projections - Learning

TITAN
reported Q1 FY27 net profit of about 1,777 crore rupees, up roughly 63 percent, with the jewellery division leading growth against a backdrop of sharply higher gold prices. The gold link is the part most people read backwards. A rising gold price inflates jewellery revenue mechanically, because the metal carries the bulk of the ticket value. What it does to profit depends on the studded ratio and on making charges, which is where the margin actually sits. Higher gold also suppresses grammage — customers buy lighter pieces — so volume growth and value growth separate. Jewellery retail has to be read as two numbers, not one, which is why a revenue-led headline can sit alongside a flat margin. On the chart this is a consolidation, not a top, and the difference is testable rather than a matter of opinion. Price at 5,047.00 is 2.69 percent below the 60-day high of 5,186.70, after a 22.95 percent advance over 60 sessions. For the last 15 sessions it has held a band between 4,992.00 and 5,186.70 — a 3.90 percent range, drawn on the chart. Now the tell. RSI(14) has cooled from 70.9 five sessions ago to 55.9 while price has barely moved. Momentum unwinding without price breaking is a reset, not distribution — the overbought condition is being worked off through time instead of through decline. Confirm it with participation. The last completed session traded 630,695 shares against a 20-session average of 864,816, about 0.73 times normal. A drift lower on below-average volume means holders are not leaving; it is an absence of buyers, not a presence of sellers. The structure stays constructive while 4,992.00 holds. 5,186.70 is the level that decides whether the next leg exists.

#PersonalFinance#EquityResearch#PsychologyofMoney
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