‹ All Posts
Jeet B Bhayani (SEBI RA)

15th Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

According to a McKinsey report named Shaping the future of India’s auto component industry amid global trade shifts, India’s auto-component sector is expected to hit US$ 200 billion by 2030, bolstered by its cost-effectiveness, skilled labor, and increasing local demand. The report emphasized that structural and geopolitical transformations are reshaping global trade routes, with an anticipated US$ 12 trillion to US$ 14 trillion in trade likely to relocate by 2035. In spite of these obstacles, global trade is expected to grow from US$ 33 trillion in 2024 to US$ 42-45 trillion by 2035. India is becoming a key beneficiary of this realignment, demonstrated by the auto-component sector’s compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of almost 10% in the last five years. Domestic sales are projected to rise by 7-8% each year until FY30, fueled by greater vehicle penetration, enhanced parts utilization per vehicle, and the embrace of new technologies. Exports are expected to reach US$ 70-100 billion by FY30, driven by two main growth factors. This involves a US$ 20-30 billion prospect in internal combustion engine (ICE) exports as worldwide markets merge, along with a 35% CAGR in local electric vehicle (EV) sales, consistent with global electrification and connectivity movements. To enhance resilience, businesses are progressively implementing supply-chain diversification tactics, such as localization, increasing production capacity in low-risk areas, and multi-sourcing. Numerous international firms are increasing their manufacturing operations in India, while car manufacturers globally are decreasing reliance on sole-source suppliers, especially from China, and seeking alternatives in other markets

#FundamentalViews#TrendingSectors#MacroViews#EquityResearch#Miscellaneous
1,198 likes·26 comments