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Jeet B Bhayani (SEBI RA)

25th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

India is poised to become a significant player in the worldwide petrochemicals sector, with intended capital investment of Rs. 3,28,227 crore (US$ 37 billion) intended for boosting self-reliance, as per S&P Global Ratings. The document, named First China, Now India: Self-Sufficiency Targets Will Increase Petrochemicals Supply, indicates that India’s rapid capacity growth, after China’s previous actions, may heighten oversupply challenges within the Asia-Pacific petrochemical industry. By 2030, India is projected to contribute one-third of worldwide capacity increases. The growth involves Rs. 2,21,775 crore (US$ 25 billion) in public sector funding associated with refinery initiatives and Rs. 1,06,452 crore (US$ 12 billion) in capital investment by the private sector. This action demonstrates India’s approach to minimizing reliance on imported chemicals utilized in everyday products, ranging from plastics to car parts. Even with possible overcapacity, robust domestic demand, especially for polyethylene, is likely to support Indian manufacturers, while global competitors encounter pricing challenges and possible consolidation. Experts observe that initiatives for self-sufficiency in India and China are expected to pose challenges for Asia-Pacific exporters, particularly since over 50% of their chemical imports originate from this area. Export diversion to the United States (US) is limited by tariffs, which may impact profits and lead to industry consolidation. Nonetheless, India’s strong domestic consumption is anticipated to safeguard the revenues of local operators, with the nation expected to overtake the US as the world’s second-largest polyethylene consumer by 2030. This transition highlights India's increasing importance in the global petrochemicals sector while indicating heightened competition for regional suppliers

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