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Pradeep Carpenter

9th Dec ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐ŸŒ Global Market Overview

US Markets S&P 500: โ€“0.35% Nasdaq: โ€“0.14% โ†’ Closed slightly lower as traders stay cautious ahead of the Fed FOMC meeting. US Tech Nvidia +2% (after-hours) Trump indicated Nvidia may sell H200 AI chips to China if the US government receives 25% of revenue. Global Macro US 10-Yr Yield: 4.16% (+3 bps) โ€” firm ahead of Fed decision. Brent Crude: $62.5 โ€” supportive for India. Dollar Index (DXY): 99 โ€” softer USD is positive for EMs. US Data Today: JOLTS Job Openings. Asian Markets: Opened in the red on global risk-off mood. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India Market Setup Opening Cues GIFT Nifty: โ€“83 pts at 25,958 โ†’ Negative opening expected for Nifty. FII Activity FII Index Shorts: 88% (vs 86%) โ†’ rising bearish positioning. FII Cash Selling: 8 consecutive days โ†’ sustained pressure on sentiment. Technical & Derivatives View Options data: Bearish sentiment dominates. Nifty Smallcap 100: Testing 200-DMA, crucial support zone. Rupee: Near record lows, may impact FII flows. Nifty Weekly Expiry: Volatility expected. Other Key Factors Global equity markets volatile ahead of Fed meeting. Bessent still working on India trade deal โ€” flows may turn positive post clarity. โ–ถ๏ธ Summary View for 09-12-2025 Bias: Weak / Negative opening Drivers: Fed uncertainty, FII selling, bearish options data, weak Asian cues Focus: Watching Nifty supports, Smallcap 200-DMA, INR trend

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