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Pradeep Carpenter

23rd Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Market Cues – July 23

Global & Domestic Developments Trade Sentiment Improves: Progress in global trade deals signals a more constructive outlook. US-Japan Agreement: Both nations sign a bilateral agreement; tariff rates finalized at 15%, indicating easing tensions. Japan's Nikkei Soars: The Nikkei surged 3%, marking a fresh record high as investor confidence strengthens. Gift Nifty Trends Positive: Up +75 points, indicating a mildly positive start for Indian equities, though broader indices remain range-bound. Wall Street Overnight Performance Dow Jones: +0.40% S&P 500: +0.06% Nasdaq: -0.40% Mixed sentiment prevailed, with tech under pressure while blue chips continued their upward momentum. Indian Market Snapshot Nifty 50: -0.12% Bank Nifty: -0.35% Nifty Midcap: -0.61% Markets remain in consolidation mode, with profit-booking evident in midcaps and financials. Cash Market Flows Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs): Net Sellers at ₹-3,549 Cr Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs): Net Buyers at ₹+5,240 Cr Robust DII inflows provided a cushion against persistent FII outflows. F&O Positioning FIIs sold ₹798 Cr in index futures. Added approximately 3,000 new short positions while covering 1,300 long positions. Current FII positioning: 14% long vs 86% short, indicating a predominantly bearish outlook. Options Activity: Notable increase in call writing; congestion zone seen at 25,250–25,300, suggesting this as a near-term resistance area. Key Technical Levels Nifty 50 Recent Low (July 21): 24,882 20-Day Moving Average: 25,325 Watch for sustained closes above the 20-DMA to regain bullish momentum. Bank Nifty 20-DMA at 56,988 – A critical level; reclaiming and sustaining above could shift momentum positively. Nifty IT Key Resistance at the 100-DMA level of 37,069 – Breakout above this could lead to renewed sectoral strength.

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