Morning Market Report – 16 Sept 2025

🔑 Market Cues Today marks Nifty weekly options expiry—expect heightened volatility. Global sentiment supportive: Wall Street closed green, with Nasdaq up +1%, while Nikkei crossed 45,000, a fresh record high. Tomorrow’s US FOMC outcome will be the key global event to watch. 📊 Nifty Levels Nifty has faced stiff resistance near 25,138 (highs on Sep 12 & Sep 15). Crucial breakout level remains 25,154 (Aug 21 high). Expiry positioning suggests a likely range of 25,000–25,200 with heavy option writing at 25,100 CE & PE. 💰 Flows & Derivatives Cash Market: DII inflows at +₹1,933 Cr, while FIIs net sold ₹1,268 Cr. Index Futures: FIIs bought ₹222 Cr, covering shorts with 1,275 contracts unwound. FII long exposure rising steadily—8% last week → 12% now—indicating improving sentiment. 🏦 Sector Drivers to Watch Bank Nifty: Needs to sustain above 55,000 to fuel further upside.

IT Stocks: If buying continues post yesterday’s pause, could provide leadership. 🌍 Global Macro Watch Precious Metals: Gold & Silver accumulation by central banks and funds highlights ongoing risk-hedging; moves here could influence broader risk appetite. 📌 Takeaway: Nifty hovers near crucial resistance at 25,154 with expiry positioning likely capping range between 25,000–25,200. Global cues remain supportive, but domestic leadership from Bank Nifty & IT will be critical for further momentum ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC outcome.